NOTE: This model gives the probability of a visible Aurora directly overhead. Not the probability of a visible Aurora at any angle. An Aurora with an altitude of 68 miles (109 Km) for example could be visible over 700 miles (1,126 km) further south.


Want to know the current overhead Aurora forecast for Iceland, Norway or even Tasmania? Or for your own back yard?

Then you’re in the right place!

No longer will you have to squint at the Ovation forecast map to try and figure out the overhead Aurora prediction for your exact location.

(Note: if you can't get your browser to share its GPS location, you can still get your forecast by clicking on your location on the Google map below.)


Using the Ovation map model, here’s the chance of a visible Aurora overhead for your exact location.




Ovation forecast Map - Temporarily Missing

This note should go away shortly. If it does not, most likely the browser is not sharing its location with us.

Look for some kind of pop up note on your browser and choose "always share location with this site."

If you are looking on a cell phone. Check the settings so your location can be shared with Soft Serve News. We need the location so we can look up the forecast for where you are.

(Worst case, you can always use the below map and zoom in on your location and click the map to get the forecast.)
. . .






Click the map for the forecast at any point on earth.   (Zoom-in to pick a detailed location.)

Note: if the timer clock stops counting down, just refresh the page.




General Info. . .

Remember, this tool attempts to forecast the Aurora-directly-overhead probability, not the can-I-see-the-Aurora-at-all probability. You could see the Aurora 700 or even over 1000 miles further south than what this shows depending on the Aurora’s altitude and brightness.

This tool uses NOAA “Ovation” model which, has the nice feature of integrating the magnetic orientation of the solar wind (Bz, etc.). This magnetic orientation is critical in determining whether an Aurora is actually visible or not.

You shouldn't have to refresh this page (unless your browser has gone into sleep mode). The forecast data will add new lines as new info comes in. Even the ovation map image will refresh automatically.

(But if there is a problem, the solution is to refresh the page.)

If you're not in "I-am-clicking-around-the-map-mode," this program will check your location about every 3 minutes. So if you're driving to a different spot, your location will update.

This page works for both the Northern Lights and the Southern Lights.

Also, don't forget the Aurora happens above the clouds, so check your local weather for cloud cover.


How does this affect Aurora Alerts . . .

If you are a subscriber to our Aurora Alerts Service, an optional ovation filter has been integrated into your Aurora Alerts.

No longer will you get a Kp Alert and then have to check the Ovation map to make sure the Bz is good enough for the Aurora to be visible because Ovation automatically takes Bz into account.

We've also integrated your local weather into the alerts. (Who really wants an alert when it's 100 % cloudy and your view is blocked?) You'll get to decide what how much cloudiness is acceptable to you. Our system will check your local weather in real-time automatically.

Thanks to everybody who uses Soft Serve News. I hope you'll enjoy using this GPS based Ovation map page!


Jim Thomas
Soft Serve News

PS - If you are not a subscriber you may want to try out our Aurora Alerts Service because it is pretty darn cool.


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